Controlling the pandemic during the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination rollout
J Viana, CH van Dorp, A Nunes, M Gomes, M van Boven, ME Kretzschmar, M Veldhoen & G Rozhnova
Nature Communications 12, 3674 (2021)
Article Supplementary Information GitHub
Model-based evaluation of school- and non-school-related measures to control the COVID-19 pandemic
G Rozhnova, CH van Dorp, P Bruijning-Verhagen, MCJ Bootsma, JHHM van de Wijgert, MJM Bonten & ME Kretzschmar
Nature Communications 12, 1614 (2021)
Article Supplementary Information GitHub
Modelling SARS-CoV-2 infections in secondary education
M Pham, I Westerhof, G Rozhnova, M Bootsma, M Kretzschmar & P Bruijning-Verhagen
3rd Report (7 September 2021)
Modelling the impact of preventive measures on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in secondary schools in the Netherlands
M Pham, G Rozhnova, I Westerhof, M Bootsma, M Kretzschmar & P Bruijning-Verhagen
Interim report (13 August 2021)
Modelling SARS-CoV-2 infections in secondary education
M Pham, I Westerhof, G Rozhnova, M Bootsma, M Kretzschmar & P Bruijning-Verhagen
2nd Report (7 July 2021)
Impact of preventive measures on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in secondary education: a modelling study
M Pham, G Rozhnova, I Westerhof, M Kretzschmar, M Bootsma & P Bruijning-Verhagen
1st Report (10 June 2021)
Isolation and contact tracing can tip the scale to containment of COVID-19 in populations with social distancing
ME Kretzschmar, G Rozhnova & M van Boven
Frontiers in Physics 8, 622485 (2021)
Article Supplementary Information GitHub
The rhythm of risk: sexual behaviour, PrEP use and HIV risk perception between 1999 and 2018 among men who have sex with men in Amsterdam, The Netherlands
M Basten, C den Daas, JCM Heijne, A Boyd, U Davidovich, G Rozhnova, ME Kretzschmar & A Matser
AIDS and Behavior 25, 1800–1809 (2021)
Article Supplementary Information
Time for change: transitions between HIV risk levels and determinants of behavior change in men who have sex with men
MGJ Basten, DA van Wees, A Matser, A Boyd, G Rozhnova, C den Daas, MEE Kretzschmar & JCM Heijne
PLOS ONE 16(12): e0259913 (2021)
Article Supplementary Information
Quantifying heterogeneity in sexual behaviour and distribution of STIs before and after pre-exposure prophylaxis among men who have sex with men
DA van Wees, S Diexer, G Rozhnova, A Matser, C den Daas, J Heijne & M Kretzschmar
E-pub ahead of print, Sexually Transmitted Infections (2021)
The perceived impact of an HIV cure by people living with HIV and key populations vulnerable to HIV in the Netherlands: a qualitative study
K Romijnders, L de Groot, S Vervoort, M Basten, B van Welzen, ME Kretzschmar, P Reiss, U Davidovich & G Rozhnova
In review, Journal of Virus Eradication (2021)
The importance of sustained compliance with physical distancing during COVID-19 vaccination rollout
A Teslya, G Rozhnova, TM Pham, D van Wees, H Nunner, N Godijk, M Bootsma & ME Kretzschmar
In review, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA (2021)
Preprint Supplementary Information GitHub
Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics
ME Kretzschmar, B Ashby, E Fearon, CE Overton, J Panovska-Griffiths, L Pellis, M Quaife, G Rozhnova, F Scarabel, HB Stage, B Swallow, RN Thompson, MJ Tildesley & D Villela
In review, Epidemics (2021)
Preprint
Modelling the impact of preventive measures on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in secondary schools in the Netherlands
TM Pham, G Rozhnova, I Westerhof, M Bonten, M Bootsma, M Kretzschmar & P Bruijning-Verhagen
Report (2021). DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5057515
GitHub
Regular universal screening for SARS-CoV-2 infection may not allow reopening of society after controlling a pandemic wave
MCJ Bootsma, ME Kretzschmar, G Rozhnova, JAP Heesterbeek, JAJW Kluytmans & MJM Bonten
medRxiv 2020.11.18.20233122 (2021)
Preprint
Impact of self-imposed prevention measures and short-term government-imposed social distancing on mitigating and delaying a COVID-19 epidemic: a modelling study
A Teslya, TM Pham, NG Godijk, ME Kretzschmar, MCJ Bootsma & G Rozhnova
PLOS Medicine 17(7), e1003166 (2020)
Article Supplementary Information GitHub Companion Article Correction
Short- and long-term impact of vaccination against cytomegalovirus: a modelling study
G Rozhnova, ME Kretzschmar, F van der Klis, D van Baarle, M Korndewal, AC Vossen & M van Boven
BMC Medicine 18, 174 (2020)
Article Supplementary Information GitHub
Impact of delays on effectiveness of contact tracing strategies for COVID-19: a modelling study
ME Kretzschmar, G Rozhnova, MCJ Bootsma, M van Boven, JHHM van de Wijgert & MJMBonten
The Lancet Public Health 5(8), e452-e459 (2020)
Article Supplementary Information GitHub Companion Article
Forecasting the pandemic: the role of mathematical models
MC Gomes, A Nunes, J Nogueira, C Rebelo, J Viana & G Rozhnova
Acta Medica Portuguesa 33(11), 713 (2020)
Article
How to fight the invisible epidemic enemy and win?
G Rozhnova, JM Nogueira & P Ferreira
Público: Ciência (2020)
Article
Predicting the number of admissions of patients with COVID-19
B van der Roest, N Godijk, ME Kretzschmar, G Rozhnova & M Bootsma
Nederlandse Vereniging voor Medische Microbiologie 28(2), 68-72 (2020)
Article
Impact of sexual trajectories of men who have sex with men on the reduction in HIV transmission by pre-exposure prophylaxis
G Rozhnova, J Heijne, M Basten, C den Daas, A Matser & ME Kretzschmar
Epidemics 28, 100337 (2019)
Article Supplementary Information
Elimination prospects of the Dutch HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men in the era of preexposure prophylaxis
G Rozhnova, J Heijne, D Bezemer, A van Sighem, A Presanis, D De Angelis & ME Kretzschmar
AIDS 32(17), 2615 (2018)
Article Supplementary Information
Antigenic evolution of viruses in host populations
IM Rouzine & G Rozhnova
PLoS Pathogens 14(9), e1007291 (2018)
Article Supplementary Information Correction
Modelling the dynamics of population viral load measures under HIV treatment as prevention
G Rozhnova, M Anastasaki & ME Kretzschmar
Infectious Disease Modelling 3, 160–170 (2018)
Article Supplementary Information
Impact of heterogeneity in sexual behavior on effectiveness in reducing HIV transmission with test-and-treat strategy
G Rozhnova, MFS van der Loeff, JCM Heijne & ME Kretzschmar
PLoS Computational Biology 12(8), e1005012 (2016)
Article Supplementary Information
Conflicting selection pressures will constrain viral escape from interfering particles: principles for designing resistance-proof antivirals
LI Rast, IM Rouzine, G Rozhnova, L Bishop, AD Weinberger & LS Weinberger
PLoS Computational Biology 12(5), e1004799 (2016)
Article Supplementary Information
Impact of commuting on disease persistence in heterogeneous metapopulations
G Rozhnova, A Nunes & AJ McKane
Ecological Complexity 19, 124–129 (2014)
Article Supplementary Information
Characterizing the dynamics of rubella relative to measles: the role of stochasticity
G Rozhnova, CJE Metcalf & BT Grenfell
Journal of the Royal Society Interface 10, 20130643 (2013)
Article Supplementary Information
Modelling the long-term dynamics of pre-vaccination pertussis
G Rozhnova & A Nunes
Journal of the Royal Society Interface 9, 2959–2970 (2012)
Article Supplementary Information
Phase lag in epidemics on a network of cities
G Rozhnova, A Nunes & AJ McKane
Physical Review E 85, 051912 (2012) & Virtual Journal of Biological Physics Research 23(11), June 1 (2012)
Article
Stochastic oscillations in models of epidemics on a network of cities
G Rozhnova, A Nunes & AJ McKane
Physical Review E 84, 051919 (2011) & Virtual Journal of Biological Physics Research 22(11), December 1 (2011)
Article Supplementary Information
Stochastic effects in a seasonally forced epidemic model
G Rozhnova & A Nunes
Physical Review E 82, 041906 (2010) & Virtual Journal of Biological Physics Research 20(8), October 15 (2010)
Article Supplementary Information
Population dynamics on random networks: simulations and analytical models
G Rozhnova & A Nunes
European Physical Journal B 74, 235–242 (2010)
Article
Stochastic effects in population dynamics: simulations and analytical models
G Rozhnova
Ph.D. thesis. University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal (2010)
Cluster approximations for infection dynamics on random networks
G Rozhnova & A Nunes
Physical Review E 80, 051915 (2009) & Virtual Journal of Biological Physics Research 18(11), December 1 (2009)
Article Supplementary Information
SIRS dynamics on random networks: simulations and analytical models
G Rozhnova & A Nunes
In: Zhou J. (eds) Lecture Notes of the Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering, vol 4. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg (2009).
Article
Fluctuations and oscillations in a simple epidemic model
G Rozhnova & A Nunes
Physical Review E 79, 041922 (2009) & Virtual Journal of Biological Physics Research 17(9), May 1 (2009)
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